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Sensex hits 2013 lows; more profit booking expected

Wipro Ltd.
BSE
411.45
6.35 (1.57%)
Vol:114620 shares traded
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6.70 (1.65%)
Vol:1064708 shares traded

The Sensex fell for a seventh consecutive session to the lowest close this year as M&M and cement makers retreated after earnings missed estimates
The Sensex fell for a seventh consecutive session to the lowest close this year as M&M and cement makers retreated after earnings missed estimates
MUMBAI: The BSE benchmark Sensex today lost over 95 points on fag-end selling by investors concerned over economic growth and lower earnings by blue-chip stocks amid a weak Asian cues.

In a seven straight day of losses, the Sensex fell by 95.55 points, or 0.49 per cent to 19.484.77 on heavy selling in last 30-minute of trade. This was the longest losing streak of the index since November 2011. The gauge had dropped 425 points in last six sessions.

Similarly, the National Stock Exchange index Nifty fell by 35.30 points, or 0.59 per cent, to 5,903.50 led by stocks of metal, realty and auto sectors.

Brokers said the investors remained cautious on lower gross domestic product projections and ahead of the inflation data next week.

As per the advance estimates of the CSO, which was released yesterday, the GDP growth rate for the current fiscal is estimated to be at 5 per cent, the lowest in a decade. The economy grew by 6.2 per cent in 2011-12 fiscal.

Brokers added that weak quarter earnings by Hindalco and Canara Bank in continuation to CiplaBSE -3.34 % yesterday further dampened the market sentiment.

Hindalco IndustriesBSE -3.18 % today reported nearly 4 per cent decline in standalone net profit at Rs 433.52 crore for the third quarter ended December 31, on subdued sales and sharp increase in finance costs. Shares of Hindalco closed at Rs 109.75 apiece, down 3.18 per cent from its previous close on the BSE.

The cement sector stocks remained under pressure on fears of falling realty sector might hurt the product demand and hurt quarter earnings, they added.

ACCBSE -3.18 % stocks fell 3.04 per cent to Rs 1,304.45, Ambuja Cement by 5.10 per cent to Rs 189.85, Madras Cement by 0.08 per cent to Rs 237.10, Shree Ultratech by 1.96 per cent to Rs 1,884 and Gujarat Sidhi Cement by 1.93 per cent to Rs 9.15.

In 30-BSE index components, 21 stocks declined led by Reliance Industries, Hindalco, Cipla, State Bank of India, ICICI Bank, Coal India, Hero Motocorp and Jindal Steel.

However, a surge in Tata Consultancy Services on hopes of better earnings on firming European trend saved the market from any major fall. TCSBSE 2.58 % stocks rose by 2.58 per cent to Rs 1,423.25 and WiproBSE 1.57 % by 1.57 per cent to Rs 411.45.

Top trading ideas from experts for Friday, February 08, 2013

Sun Pharma Ltd is a 'BUY' call with a target of Rs 775 and a stop loss of Rs 743.

Reliance Power Ltd is a 'SELL' call with a target of Rs 80 and a stop loss of Rs 89.

HDFC Ltd is a 'BUY' call with a target of Rs 840 and a stop loss of Rs 807.

MRF Ltd is a 'BUY' call with a target of Rs 13820 and a stop loss of Rs 13390.

Tech Mahindra Ltd is a 'BUY' call with a target of Rs 1035 and a stop loss of Rs 989.

Coal India Ltd is a 'SELL' call with a target of Rs 327 and a stop loss of Rs 341.

Pre-market: Weak global cues may drag markets at start

Headlines for the day
  • Ambuja Q4 net dips 30% to Rs211 crore
  • Aurobindo Pharma posts net profit of Rs92 cr in Q3
  • Power Grid to raise Rs3,000 cr via bond issue in FY13

    Events for the day Results
  • Bharat Forge, Hindalco Industries, M&M, Max India, Tata Chemicals, Sun Pharma, Canara Bank, Emami, Cadila Health, GMR Infra, GSPL, BGR Energy.

    GLOBAL INDICESGLOBAL INDICES

Sensex opens in green, sugar stocks on fire


Indian equity markets opened gap-up mirroring SGX Nifty and other Asian markets, which were trading in the positive zone with gains in the range of 0.2% to 3.0%. Midcaps too picked up momentum after the savage correction on Tuesday, with investors taking a shine on sugar stocks.
At 09.26 AM, the BSE benchmark Sensex was up 51.97 points at 19711.79, and the 50-share Nifty had gained 14.45 points to trade at 5971.35.

HDFC, Tata Steel, Maruti Suzuki and Sun Pharma were the top notchers on the Sensex. Heavyweights ITC, Reliance, Infosys and Larsen were contributing positively to the bourses. NTPC fell in the morning trade after the announcement that the government will sell 9.5 percent stake in country's largest power producer at a likely price of Rs 145 per share, nearly seven per cent discount to the current market price.

In general, buyers picked up beaten-down midcaps like Jubilant Foodworks and Sundram Fasteners; which were up 6 percent each.

However, sugar space is likely to become the flavour of the day as partial decontrol for the sector is expected. On Tuesday, the government took initial steps to free the sector from its control. Buying was seen in sugar stocks like Balrampur Chini (up 3.7 percent), Sree Renuka (up 3 percent), Sakthi Sugar (4.1 percent), Triveni Engineering (3 percent) and Bajaj Hindusthan (3.72 percent).

Post-market: Markets remain bearish; Sensex ends below 19700

Major headlines
  • Jain Irrigation plunges post Q3 results (YoY)
  • UCO Bank Q3 net profit falls 69% (YoY)
  • Services PMI rises to one-year high in January 

    Following are the stocks/sectors which were in news today:
  • Jain Irrigation declined 5.17% after the company reported a net loss of Rs31.17 crore for the third quarter ended December, 2012, due to sluggish sales.
  • Sun Pharmaceutical Industries rose 4.06% after the company announced that the US health regulator has approved a generic version of the cancer drug Doxil. 
  • UCO Bank dropped 5.11% after the net profit of bank fell 69.19% to Rs102.47 crore on 9.75% increase in total income to Rs4360.88 crore in Q3 December 2012 over Q3 December 2011.
Market sentiment:
The market breadth stood in favor of declines. Of the 2953 stocks traded on the BSE, 819 (27.73%) rose, 1417 (47.99%) fell and 717 (24.28%) stocks remained unchanged.

Sectoral & stock screening
All the 13 sectoral indices closed in the red zone except Healthcare which was the only gaining sector up by 0.86%. Top Losers- BSE CD down by 1.57%, BSE FMCG fell by 1.03%, BSE Power was down by 0.75%

Among 'A' group stocks, top three gainers were- Berger Paints rose by 4.23%; Sun Pharma up by 4.06% and Suzlon Energy surged by 3.04%. Top three losers were- Jubilant FoodWorks declined by 8.24%, Opto Circuits was down by 6.77% and Jain Irrigation fell by 5.17%. 

Global signals
Asian shares eased on Tuesday as investors booked profits from recent strong rallies in the face of weak US data and worries that a potential political shake-up could disrupt the eurozone's efforts to resolve its debt crisis.

European shares were largely flat as renewed worries over political risks in the euro zone trimmed demand for riskier assets for a second day. The euro extended losses today as traders booked profits on the currency's stellar gains so far this year, after it hit a 14-month high last week.

US stock index futures poised for a higher opening at the Wall Street on Tuesday.

Top stocks ahead of Budget 2013....

Federal Bank: Buy with a target price of Rs 590

Federal BankBSE 0.21 % is an old private bank with a network of over 1,000 branches and a dominant presence in south India. Under the new management, the bank is working on a strategy to gain pan-Indian presence, shift the loan book to better-rated corporates, increase the fee income, become more efficient and improve the asset quality.

The asset quality of the bank has remained steady after showing some strain initially. The slippages from the SME and retail accounts have declined substantially while the slippages from the corporate accounts remain stable.

Going forward, with the initiatives undertaken the recoveries could pick up and the NPAs may decline. The brokerage firm expects RoE of 16 per cent and RoA of around 1.2 per cent by FY2015, led by a 17 per cent CAGR in the earnings. The brokerage firm has revised the price target to Rs590 (1.4x FY2014E book value [BV]) and maintained its 'buy' rating on the stock.

Godrej Consumer Products Ltd (GCPL): Buy with a target price of Rs811

The company is a major player in the Indian fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) market with a strong presence in the personal care, hair care and home care segments in India. The recent acquisitions (in line with the 3x3 strategy) have immensely improved the long-term growth prospects of the company.

On the back of a strong distribution network and advertising and promotional support, Sharekhan expects GCPL to sustain the market share in its core categories of soap and hair colour in the domestic market. On the other hand, continuing its strong growth momentum, the household insecticide business is expected to grow by 20% YoY.

In the international markets, the Indonesian and Argentine businesses are expected to achieve a revenue growth of around 25% and 35% CAGR respectively over FY2012-15. This along with the recently acquired Darling Group would help GCPL to post a top line CAGR of 24% over FY2012-15.

At the current market price, the stock trades at 36.1x FY2013E EPS of Rs19.7 and 26.3x FY2014E EPS of Rs27.0 and the brokerage firm has a target price of Rs 811.

ICICI bank: Buy with a target price of Rs 1320

The private bank continues to report a strong growth in advances with stable margins of 3 per cent. The brokerage firm expects the advances of the bank to grow by 20 per cent CAGR over FY2012-15. This should lead to a 21 per cent CAGR growth in the net interest income in the same period.

ICICIBSE -1.23 % Bank's asset quality has shown a turnaround as its NPAs have continued to decline over the last eleven quarters led by contraction in slippages. This has led to a sharp reduction in the provisions and an increase in the profitability. Going forward, Sharekhan expects the NPAs to decline further which will lead to lower NPA provisions and hence aid the profit growth.

The stock trades at 1.9x FY2014E BV, and Sharekhan recommends a 'buy' with a price target of Rs 1,320

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Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd.

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