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Indices post biggest Weekly loss in over 15 months.....

Indian indices:

Welcome to the ‘Weekly Market Wrap’ for July 11, 2014 where key benchmark indices slumped last week as investors booked profit after a strong rally in the past few months. An upward momentum in Indian shares kicked off after BJP led NDA government won a thumping victory in general election in May this year. Investors build up position in the equity market ahead of the Union Budget 2014-15 on expectations of far-reaching reforms.
Modi government's maiden Budget on Thursday, 10 July 2014, fell short of the hype. It lacked any major policy reforms and roadmap for reduction of subsidies. But Narendra Modi's administration earmarked substantial sums for new infrastructure, which should revitalise growth. Finance Minster Arun Jaitley made a number of announcements in Budget such as a proposal to increase in foreign direct investment in insurance and defence manufacturing, a sharp increase in plan expenditure, measures to boost long-term financing for infrastructure by banks and provided clarity on taxation with respect to foreign portfolio investors. But, market expectations that the Finance Minster would scrap the law on retrospective taxation were not met. Government spending on plan expenditure was substantially increased to support growth.
The S&P BSE Mid-Cap index fell 670.51 points or 7.02% to 8,875.24 and the S&P BSE Small-Cap index fell 819.92 points or 7.80% to 9,688.11. Both these indices underperformed the Sensex.
The S&P BSE Sensex fell 937.71 points or 3.61% to 25,024.35. The 50-unit CNX Nifty fell 292 points or 3.77% to 7,459.60.

Weekly market trend from July 07 – July 11:

July 07- India's NSE index rose on Monday to a third consecutive record high, while the benchmark BSE index surpassed 26,000 points, riding on gains in technology stocks ahead of Infosys Ltd's results and hopes of a fiscally prudent budget. The BSE Sensex rose 0.53% and NSE Nifty gained 0.46% for the day. The Sensex closed at 26100.08, up by 138.02 points, while the Nifty rose 35.55 points to close at 7787.15
July 08- Indian shares fell more than 2 percent on Tuesday, marking their biggest single-day fall in over 10 months as a lower-than-expected railway budget outlay sparked worries about subdued government expenditure in the federal budget due on Thursday. The BSE Sensex fell 1.98% and NSE Nifty slipped 2.11% for the day. The Sensex closed at 25582.11, down by 517.97 points, while the Nifty fell 163.95 points to close at 7623.20
July 09- India's NSE index marked a 1-1/2 week closing low on Wednesday, continuing to retreat from the record high hit in the previous session, as investors pared positions in blue-chips such as Tata Motors ahead of the federal budget. The BSE Sensex fell 0.54% and NSE Nifty slipped 0.50% for the day. The Sensex closed at 25444.81, down by 137.30 points, while the Nifty fell 38.20 points to close at 7585.00
July 10- Indian shares edged lower in a volatile session on Thursday as Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's pledge to narrow the fiscal deficit and open up sectors such as insurance and defence were offset by disappointment over the lack of major reforms. The BSE Sensex fell 0.28% and NSE Nifty slipped 0.23% for the day. The Sensex closed at 25372.75, down by 72.06 points, while the Nifty fell 17.25 points to close at 7567.75
July 11- India's NSE index fell 1.4% on Friday to post its biggest weekly loss since March 2013 as blue chips were hit by a range of factors including profit-taking and disappointment over the budget's lack of specifics. The Sensex closed at 25024.35, down by 348.40 points, while the Nifty fell 108.15 points to close at 7459.60

Global indices:

Top Losers: CAC40 down 3.75%, DAX100 fell 3.50% and FTSE100 slipped 2.82%.

Sectoral and stock screening:

Top Gainers: S&P BSE FMCG up 1.47% and S&P BSE IT up 0.73%
Top Losers: S&P BSE Power down 10.16%, S&P BSE CG slipped 9.98% and S&P BSE Realty fell 9.18%
Looking at the 'A' group stocks, the top three gainers of the week were – Crisil up 11.28%, IDFC up 9.52%, Sun Pharma up 6.84%
Top three losers of the week were - Unitech fell by 26.93%, GMR Infra fell by 22.75% and JP Power down 21.40%.

FII/MF activity

The foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have been the net buyers of the Indian stocks to the tune of Rs2091.93 crore and the domestic investors bought Indian shares worth a net of Rs131.60 crore as on July 09, 2014.

Market outlook for the coming week!

In the coming week, selling may continue amid lack of any major event. There could be some stock-specific action based on April-June 2014 corporate earnings announcements.
Macroeconomic data, trend in investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), trend in global markets, trend in other global emerging markets, the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil price movement hold key.
On the macro front, the government is scheduled to announce the rate of inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI) for the month of June 2014 on 14 July 2014.

The 10 commandments of successful investing


Moses was coming down the stairs of the Bombay Stock Exchange building after a rough trading session one rainy day and look what he found peeking out of the false ceiling on the 10th floor landing, written in the hand of God...

God entrusted to Moses the noble task of protecting the small investor from the vagaries of the market and the attempts of various vested interests to waylay them on their path to safe investing. Safe investing, said God, was a mere matter of following these ten simple rules.

Commandment 1: Don't attempt to time the market

Timing the market is no guessing matter. To the little investor, timing the market is like taking a random walk. Most people only recognise the correct path after already having set foot on the wrong one. One exception to this is “bottom-fishing”, an approach to buy stocks that you want in your portfolio at prices below the prevailing levels. This entails biding your time and buying into a market downturn before the others do (the age-old philosophy of buying low, selling high). The downside of this approach being that the stock you want may never see the downside you expect.

Commandment 2: Don't try to outguess the market

Market psychology is for shrinks, not for couch potatoes like we humans. What captures the imagination of the market is transient. This means that what is “in” today is “out” tomorrow. Most people only recognise the pattern after it has become apparent to almost everyone else and is too late to act upon. For example, if investment in technology appears to be the current flavour, you are probably already too late to cash in on the trend. In this instance, you should only invest in technology as part of a long-term balanced approach.

Commandment 3: Treat investing like marriage--go for the long haul

Short-term investing could go either way. Invest for the long term. Almost all market pundits and investment studies show that stock investing should be part of a long-term strategy, lasting for five to ten, or even 20, years or longer. Beware that not every year will result in a positive return on your investment. However, over time the plus will likely overwhelm the minus by a substantial margin.

Commandment 4: Stay clear of broker's advice, hot tips and "multibaggers"

Every portfolio advisor is not Sharekhan (J) who swears by sound investment principles. Think. Wouldn't most brokers be tempted to make their living by goading their clients to constantly move in and out of positions, thus garnering commissions? This is diametrically opposite to Commandments 1, 2 and 3. For most people, stock advice is like a game--of darts! Only accept advice if the person has your financial interest in mind and is not making a living by selling your stock. Of course never buy from someone who calls on you and gives you advice. J

Commandment 5: Almost always invest in blue chips and blue chips-to-be

Do invest in companies that are considered blue chips. These include not only the BSE 100, but also the others that are slowly stepping into the big league. Invest only in established companies with a good track record. Beware that not every blue chip will rise after you buy it, and that even these otherwise stellar performers will have their good months/years and bad months/years. But over time, the fluctuations will even out and you would be left with a considerable net plus. Also invest in companies that have a good record of declaring dividends (and if you find the solitary one that increases its dividend pay-out each year...you know what to do).

Commandment 6: Prefer steady installment-like buying of stock to buying at one go

Investing should never be done in panic or be treated as an emergency. Purchasing your favourite few is best accomplished at a steady rate over time, so as to avoid the ups and downs of the market. This is called rupee cost averaging and is one of the safest approaches to investing. It works just like any other habit: you buy, regardless whether the price is up or down, until you reach the desired number of shares of that stock.

Commandment 7: Diversify, diversify and diversify

Do diversify your portfolio, both within your selected sectors and within the overall industry. For example, don't invest in only technology because it happens to be in vogue but consider the other industries as well.

Commandment 8: No shopping with borrowed money and maintain a core reserve

Never use margin money to buy stocks. You should not invest money you don't have. A simple and basic rule is to not leverage yourself to an extent that when the tide turns against you, all you are left with is nothing.

You never know when a financial emergency might arise. That's why you must keep a comfortable cash reserve in your savings account, so you do not have to tap into your long-term investments. A reserve equal to six months of salary should be just about ideal.

Commandment 9: Set realistic financial goals

Treat a 500% return with as much derision as you would a 5% return. Decide what you need the money for: To retire early, to finance your kid's college education or to fund your daughter's marriage or just to preserve and build wealth? Whatever the goal you set, make sure it is reasonable and attainable. Expecting too much will only lead to disappointment down the road. Aim for an expected return level that is realistic--not mediocre or overambitious.

Commandment 10: There are 10 more commandments

For those who thought that was the last of the ten commandments I have good news. There's more. Ensure that your portfolio size is controllable (15 stocks is about ideal) and your stocks are well researched. Checkpoints: Is the management quality above board? Does the company have a positive cash flow? Does it have the capability to compete on a global scale? Most importantly, is it shareholder friendly?

Finally, leave your emotions behind when you enter the world of investing. Follow the ten commandments. Time is on your side. Investment success won't happen overnight, so stay focused on long-term returns and avoid overreacting to short-term market swings. Remember, investment success depends on time, not timing.

Sharekhan has the best stocks under its coverage. Invest in them for the long term for healthy returns.

Budget 2014-15 Highlights........

Budget 2014: Breather for FDI!

Finance Minister in his maiden Union Budget 2014 speech gave a breather to few sectors by raising FII bars
FM raises limit on foreign direct investment in defence sector from 26% to 49%
Raises FDI limit in insurance sector from 26% to 49%

Budget 2014: Revenues and Expenditure

Finance Minister presented about Revenue and Expenditure in his maiden Union Budget 2014 speech
  • Estimates that total expenditure will be Rs 17.95 trillion in 2014/15
  • Revenue deficit seen at 2.9 per cent of GDP in 2014/15
  • Capital receipts seen at Rs 739.5 billion in 2014/15
  • Retains tax collection targets and makes no major changes to direct tax rates
  • Allocates Rs 2.29 trillion for defence spending in 2014/15; capital outlay raised by Rs 50 billion over interim budget
  • Earmarks Rs70.6 billion to create 100 'smart cities'
  • Proposes Rs 50 billion for warehousing capacity; Rs 100 billion of private capital for start-up companies; and Rs 378 billion of investment in national and state highways
  • Rs40 billion for affordable housing proposed through national housing bank; Rs 80 billion proposed for rural housing scheme
  • Budget 2014: Cigarettes to lit Fire in pockets

     FM Jaitley targets raising Cigarettes prices which may lit Fire in common man’s pockets

  • To raise export duty on bauxite to 20% from 10%
  • To cut excise duty to 6% from 12% on footwear below Rs1,000
  • To raise excise duty on cigarette between 11%-72%
  • To raise excise duties on chewing tobacco, cigars
  • To raise excise duty on aerated water containing added sugar
  • Raises excise duty on pan masala to 16% from 12%

 

Budget impact on consumer goods

Here is how the consumer goods will be impacted post Budget 2014 announcement
Cheaper
  • Footwear (excise duty reduced from 12% to 6%)
  • LED TVs with panel below 19 inches (basic custom duty on import of panel made nil)
  • CRT TVs
Dearer
  • Gutka (excise duty hiked to 70% from 60%)
  • Aerated water products with added sugar
  • Cigarettes (excise hike on some cigarettes to 72% from 11%)

 

Budget 2014: Education

Finance Minister presented following Education limits in his maiden Union Budger 2014 speech
  • To set up Jai Prakash Narayan National Centre for Excellence in Humanities in Madhya Pradesh.
  • To set up five more IITs in Jammu, Chhattisgarh, Goa, Andhra Pradesh and Kerala.
  • To set up five more IIMs in Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Bihar, Odisha and Maharashtra.

 

FM presents budget: India will meet 4.1% fiscal deficit target

In the Narendra Modi government's maiden budget, the finance minister Arun Jaitley has hit the ground running.
In his Budget speech for FY15 he said that the government's immediate target is to lower inflation, lessen the fiscal deficit and reduce the cuurent account deficit to manageable levels.
He said the government will meet the 4.1% fiscal deficit target set by his predecessor P Chidambaram but termed it as 'daunting'. He said the government aims to achieve 7-8% economic growth rate in next 3-4 years
He announced that a new urea regime will be implemented. He said that the government needs to revive growth particularly in manufacturing sector and infrastructure after slow decision making by the previous government.
'Two years of sub-five per cent growth has led to challenges to the economy,' he said and added that green shoots of recovery are seen in global economy.
He announced a raise in composite FDI to 49%.

first step to invest in stock market is :open a Demat Account

Demat Account Definition
Demat refers to a dematerialised account.
Though the company is under obligation to offer the securities in both physical and demat mode, you have the choice to receive the securities in either mode.
If you wish to have securities in demat mode, you need to indicate the name of the depository and also of the depository participant with whom you have depository account in your application.
It is, however desirable that you hold securities in demat form as physical securities carry the risk of being fake, forged or stolen.
Just as you have to open an account with a bank if you want to save your money, make cheque payments etc, Nowadays, you need to open a demat account if you want to buy or sell stocks.

HOW TO OPEN A DEMAT ACCOUNT ?

Opening an individual Demat account is a two-step process: You approach a DP and fill up the Demat account-opening booklet. The Web sites of the NSDL and the CDSL list the approved DPs. You will then receive an account number and a DP ID number for the account. Quote both the numbers in all future correspondence with your DPs.
So it is just like a bank account where actual money is replaced by shares. You have to approach the DPs (remember, they are like bank branches), to open your demat account. Let’s say your portfolio of shares looks like this: 150 of Infosys, 50 of Wipro, 200 of HLL and 100 of ACC. All these will show in your demat account. So you don’t have to possess any physical certificates showing that you own these shares. They are all held electronically in your account. As you buy and sell the shares, they are adjusted in your account. Just like a bank passbook or statement, the DP will provide you with periodic statements of holdings and transactions.
Is a demat account a must? Nowadays, practically all trades have to be settled in dematerialised form. Although the market regulator, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), has allowed trades of upto 500 shares to be settled in physical form, nobody wants physical shares any more.
So a demat account is a must for trading and investing.
Most banks are also DP participants, as are many brokers.
You can choose your very own DP.
To get a list, visit the NSDL and CDSL websites and see who the registered DPs are.
A broker is separate from a DP. A broker is a member of the stock exchange, who buys and sells shares on his behalf and on behalf of his clients.
A DP will just give you an account to hold those shares.
You do not have to take the same DP that your broker takes. You can choose your own.
Banks are also advantageous because of the number of branches they have. Some banks give the option of opening a Demat account in any branch, while others restrict themselves to a selected set of branches.
Some private banks also provide online access to the Demat account. So, you can check on your holdings, transactions and status of requests through the net banking facility. A broker who acts as a DP may not be able to provide these services.

DEMAT ACCOUNT OPENING COST AND OTHER CHARGES

The cost of opening and holding a Demat account. There are four major charges usually levied on a Demat account: Account opening fee, annual maintenance fee, custodian fee and transaction fee. All the charges vary from DP to DP.
Depending on the DP, there may or may not be an opening account fee. Private banks, such as ICICI Bank, HDFC bank and UTI bank, do not have it. However, players such as Karvy Consultants and the State Bank of India charge it. But most players levy this when you re-open a Demat account, though the Stock Holding Corporation offers a lifetime account opening fee, which allows you to hold on to your Demat account over a long period. This fee is refundable.
Annual maintenance fee: This is also known as folio maintenance charges, and is generally levied in advance.
Custodian fee: This fee is charged monthly and depends on the number of securities (international securities identification numbers – ISIN) held in the account. It generally ranges between Rs. 0.5 to Rs. 1 per ISIN per month.
DPs will not charge custody fee for ISIN on which the companies have paid one-time custody charges to the depository.
Transaction fee: The transaction fee is charged for crediting/debiting securities to and from the account on a monthly basis. While some DPs, such as SBI, charge a flat fee per transaction, HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank peg the fee to he transaction value, subject to a minimum amount.
The fee also differs based on the kind of transaction (buying or selling). Some DPs charge only for debiting the securities while others charge for both. The DPs also charge if your instruction to buy/sell fails or is rejected.
In addition, service tax is also charged by the DPs.

Share Market Terms

Share Market Terms

A – Active Share, Advance Decline, After Tax, Aging Schedule, Amortization……
B – Bad Delivery, Balance of Trade, Balance Sheet, Bear, Bear Cycle……
C – Call, Call Money, Call of More Option, Call Option, Call Premium…..
D – Daily Margin, Dartboard Investing, Dawn Raid, Debentures, Debt…..
E – Earnings Yield, Economic Growth Rate, Economic Indicators, Efficient…
F – Factoring, FERA, FERA Companies, FII, Financial Future…….
G – Geared Investment Trust, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade….
H – Havala or Hawala, Hedging Against Inflation, Hemline Theory…….
I – IBRD, Imbalance of Orders, Income Shares, Income Tax Rebate….
J – Jobber or Taravaniwallah, Joint Holders, Joint Venture, Junk Bond…
K – Key Indicators, Khoka, Kicher, Know Your Customer ….
L – Lady Macbeth, Laundering Money, Layered Premia, Leading Lags….
M – Macroeconomic Forecasts, Majority Shareholder, Make a Market …
N – Naive Buy and Hold Strategy, Naked Option, Naked Position….
O – Odd Lot, Odd-Lot Theory, Off-Floor Order, Offer by Prospectus…
P – P/D Ratio, P/E Ratio of Price-Earnings Ratio, Paid-up Capital….
Q – Qualified Accounts or Report, Qualifying Shares, Quantitative Analysis…
R – Rader Alert, Raider, Ramping, Random Walk, Rate of Return….
S – Safe Harbour, Safety Net, Sandbag, Saturday Night Special…..
T – Tailgating, Take Delivery, Takeover, Target Price, Tax-Exempt Bonds…..
U – Unappropriated, Unbundling, Undermargined, Account…..
V – Formation, Valuation Reserve, Value Added, Value Investment…..
W – Formation, Waiting Period, Wall Street Journal, Wallflower….
Y – Yield Advantage, Yield Curve, Yield Gap, Yield Spread, Yield to Maturity….
Z – Zero-Coupon Bond, Zero-Rated Debentures, Zurich Axioms ……

What is investing?

INVESTING


Investing is not just about depositing your savings in the bank every few months. It’s about growing your money. It’s about making your money work for you.

INVESTING IS A LONG TERM ACTIVITY

When you invest, you  buy an asset like shares, mutual funds, gold or real estate when it’s available at a bargain and wait till its price go up. You may have to wait for a long time, say 5 or 10 years to get a real appreciation for your invested funds. So,  investing is a long term activity, you have to wait for your rewards.

IT’S ALSO ABOUT GROWING YOUR MONEY PRUDENTLY.

Money is a weapon that’s to be used very very carefully or else, it can backfire within no time resulting in a total ruin of your life. By being ‘prudent’ we  mean, determining an action or a line of investing that’s practically wise, judicious and careful.
When you look around for opportunities to invest, it’s natural to stumble upon ideas like multi level marketing of certain financial schemes or money chains etc that may seem to be too good an opportunity to make a quick buck. It’s important not get tempted by such investment offers. Any investing decision you take must be practical, legal, safe and capable of creating wealth for you in the long run.

REWARD FROM INVESTMENTS

Investments range from risky types like stocks  to very safe ones like fixed deposits. Depending on the type of investment you’ve made you get return in the form of rent, interest, dividends, premiums, pension benefits or appreciation in value. The more risk you take, the more you earn as rewards.

OBJECTIVES OF INVESTING

Objectives or purpose of investing would be different for different people.  By choosing to budget your expenses, accumulate money, invest that accumulated fund and limiting the amount of debt – you can achieve most of your life’s goals. Normally, a person would invest with one or many of the following objectives in mind:
  • A Regular Income
  • Creation of wealth
  • Preserving his capital
  • Planning for retirement life
  • Education /marriage of his children.
  • To start a business

THE PROCESS OF INVESTING

The process of investing is quite simple-
Depending upon the money you got, you will have to short list the type of asset suitable for investment.
Next, you’ll have to assess yourself and find out how much knowledge you have in that particular asset category. This assessment will tell you where you stand right now, and the amount of preparatory work you need to do before investing you money in it.
Once you gain enough knowledge, try to draw a plan to invest systematically – get access to the right information, plan properly and make the right choice.

REASONS TO INVEST

Why does investing acquire so much of importance? That’s because of three core benefits of investing-
First, the probability that you’ll beat inflation.
Second, the probability of achieving your financial goals quickly.
Third, the probability of building something for your next generation.
An investor’s  main focus should be to beat inflation.  Inflation and it’s after effects were discussed in our previous articles.  You’ve to invest in such a way that the rate of return beats the inflation rate. If you don’t do that, it eats away your returns. Unless your rate of return beats the inflation rate, you’re not growing your investments.We said ‘probability’ because, investments carry the risk of not hitting the desired targets. When you set higher targets ( higher returns) the risk of not achieving it is also high.
Apart from achieving financial goals and securing your children’s future, another important reason would be to plan for your retirement. When do you plan to retire? At 60 or at 50? You can opt to retire when you have a sufficient amount of wealth so that, you can maintain the standard of living that you are maintaining today. The earlier, the better!
In the coming lessons, we take to you through different aspects of investing. Each lesson has a concept to share. At the end, you’ll know what investing is all about, why it’s essential to invest early, different avenues to invest etc..In our next article , let’s see why investing is the most important activity one should have.

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