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Top ten stocks to buy with strong fundamentals and fair valuations for year 2015

For 2015, we expect that the markets should definitely remain buoyant on the back of a strong potential improvement in fundamentals - in particular, recovering asset utilisations and strengthening EBIT margins - with a secondary boost from a possible re-rating in valuations.

We expect earnings growth to the tune of 25-30 per cent over the next 5 years as the Indian growth story should benefit from a release of pent-up demand. Further, with the Indian rupee expected to continue to depreciate (along with rate cuts looming ahead) - contracts expiring 1 year hence reveal 6 per cent depreciation from current spot - we expect significant outflows from debt investments (as yields should correspondingly lower) and sustained equity inflows driven by the attractive fundamentals story. 

Release of pent up demand should primarily aid the metals & mining sector and the auto sector, which also possess excellent sector fundamentals and good valuations. IT services - another fundamentally strong and relatively undervalued sector - should be another strong bet, expected to benefit from the weakening Indian rupee and a strong potential recovery in the US economy (the Fed hinted at baby increments in rates by mid-2015).


While as a house, we do not focus on individual stock specific picks, but rather on identifying low risk pockets of high mispricing, based on our ideology of value investing we present below 10 stocks over the large and mid-cap space in no particular order.

These stocks have solid fundamentals and are fairly undervalued with respect to their intrinsic values:
 

1) NMDC
2) Coal India
3) Wipro
4) Tata Motors
5) HCL Technologies
6) MOIL
7) Hindustan Zinc
8) Engineers India
9) MphasiS


10) GMDC 

The 10 commandments of successful investing

The 10 commandments of successful investing
Moses was coming down the stairs of the Bombay Stock Exchange building after a rough trading session one rainy day and look what he found peeking out of the false ceiling on the 10th floor landing, written in the hand of God...

God entrusted to Moses the noble task of protecting the small investor from the vagaries of the market and the attempts of various vested interests to waylay them on their path to safe investing. Safe investing, said God, was a mere matter of following these ten simple rules.
Commandment 1: Don't attempt to time the market
Timing the market is no guessing matter. To the little investor, timing the market is like taking a random walk. Most people only recognise the correct path after already having set foot on the wrong one. One exception to this is “bottom-fishing”, an approach to buy stocks that you want in your portfolio at prices below the prevailing levels. This entails biding your time and buying into a market downturn before the others do (the age-old philosophy of buying low, selling high). The downside of this approach being that the stock you want may never see the downside you expect.
Commandment 2: Don't try to outguess the market
Market psychology is for shrinks, not for couch potatoes like we humans. What captures the imagination of the market is transient. This means that what is “in” today is “out” tomorrow. Most people only recognise the pattern after it has become apparent to almost everyone else and is too late to act upon. For example, if investment in technology appears to be the current flavour, you are probably already too late to cash in on the trend. In this instance, you should only invest in technology as part of a long-term balanced approach.
Commandment 3: Treat investing like marriage--go for the long haul
Short-term investing could go either way. Invest for the long term. Almost all market pundits and investment studies show that stock investing should be part of a long-term strategy, lasting for five to ten, or even 20, years or longer. Beware that not every year will result in a positive return on your investment. However, over time the plus will likely overwhelm the minus by a substantial margin.
Commandment 4: Stay clear of broker's advice, hot tips and "multibaggers"
Every portfolio advisor is not Sharekhan (J) who swears by sound investment principles. Think. Wouldn't most brokers be tempted to make their living by goading their clients to constantly move in and out of positions, thus garnering commissions? This is diametrically opposite to Commandments 1, 2 and 3. For most people, stock advice is like a game--of darts! Only accept advice if the person has your financial interest in mind and is not making a living by selling your stock. Of course never buy from someone who calls on you and gives you advice. J
Commandment 5: Almost always invest in blue chips and blue chips-to-be
Do invest in companies that are considered blue chips. These include not only the BSE 100, but also the others that are slowly stepping into the big league. Invest only in established companies with a good track record. Beware that not every blue chip will rise after you buy it, and that even these otherwise stellar performers will have their good months/years and bad months/years. But over time, the fluctuations will even out and you would be left with a considerable net plus. Also invest in companies that have a good record of declaring dividends (and if you find the solitary one that increases its dividend pay-out each year...you know what to do).
Commandment 6: Prefer steady installment-like buying of stock to buying at one go
Investing should never be done in panic or be treated as an emergency. Purchasing your favourite few is best accomplished at a steady rate over time, so as to avoid the ups and downs of the market. This is called rupee cost averaging and is one of the safest approaches to investing. It works just like any other habit: you buy, regardless whether the price is up or down, until you reach the desired number of shares of that stock.
Commandment 7: Diversify, diversify and diversify
Do diversify your portfolio, both within your selected sectors and within the overall industry. For example, don't invest in only technology because it happens to be in vogue but consider the other industries as well.
Commandment 8: No shopping with borrowed money and maintain a core reserve
Never use margin money to buy stocks. You should not invest money you don't have. A simple and basic rule is to not leverage yourself to an extent that when the tide turns against you, all you are left with is nothing.

You never know when a financial emergency might arise. That's why you must keep a comfortable cash reserve in your savings account, so you do not have to tap into your long-term investments. A reserve equal to six months of salary should be just about ideal.
Commandment 9: Set realistic financial goals
Treat a 500% return with as much derision as you would a 5% return. Decide what you need the money for: To retire early, to finance your kid's college education or to fund your daughter's marriage or just to preserve and build wealth? Whatever the goal you set, make sure it is reasonable and attainable. Expecting too much will only lead to disappointment down the road. Aim for an expected return level that is realistic--not mediocre or overambitious.
Commandment 10: There are 10 more commandments
For those who thought that was the last of the ten commandments I have good news. There's more. Ensure that your portfolio size is controllable (15 stocks is about ideal) and your stocks are well researched. Checkpoints: Is the management quality above board? Does the company have a positive cash flow? Does it have the capability to compete on a global scale? Most importantly, is it shareholder friendly?

Finally, leave your emotions behind when you enter the world of investing. Follow the ten commandments. Time is on your side. Investment success won't happen overnight, so stay focused on long-term returns and avoid overreacting to short-term market swings. Remember, investment success depends on time, not timing.
Sharekhan has the best stocks under its coverage. Invest in them for the long term for healthy returns.

Financial Discipline for all: Principle 6: Never stretch beyond your limits.

Money will come and go; after all, you just have a life to live –why not live it to the fullest? Sounds perfect and positive, isn’t it? Unfortunately, if you are living your life like that, not everything is positive and perfect. You will realize the perils of reckless spending when you face a financial emergency. I have done it in my initial investing life– reckless spending – but soon realized that you cannot discount uncertainties in life. A sudden drop in my monthly cash flows turned my life into a nightmare. So, when i write my sixth principle, I have my own experiences to back it up!
The principle is not very hard to follow – never take money from your savings or borrow temporarily from your friend’s pocket to buy a little more luxury. Be it a slightly bigger house that caught your wife’s imagination or the latest electronic gadgets.
WHERE IS THE PROBLEM?
The lifestyle you want to maintain depends on three factors:
  • The circumstances in which you were born and bought up
  • The kind of friends you have
  • The place or community where you live.
Have you asked your parents about how they started their life? They din’t have a big car or latest electronic gadgets. They probably didn’t live in the big apartment or villa they’re living right now. They built everything brick by brick. It would have taken a lot of time, effort and disciplined life to get to where they are now. That’s exactly the way you should also start off. If you try to achieve all the life’s goodies in very short time, there’s every possibility that you’ll borrow a lot of money assuming that you’ve the ability to re-pay everything in 5 or 10 years and chances are that you’ll get into debt trap should there be an unexpected fall in your monthly income.
Another problem amoung youngsters is that spending habits are greatly influenced by their friends and colleagues. Bank balance doesn’t matter, the car or home doesn’t matter – what matters is the answer ‘yes’ to this question- Are you better off than your neighbor , friend , relative or colleague? If the answer is yes, you are confident, you feel happy. Or else – you stretch beyond your limits to maintain yourself the standard of living that your friend has! You will over borrow, over spend or do something to satisfy your ego. This category of people falls into the trap of personal loan providers. Personal loans are easy to get. There is less documentation and there are no restrictions on how you use the money. Since money comes in quickly with minimum documentation, you won’t mind the higher rate of interest.
Another reason for reckless spending is that these days, a lot of technologically advanced gadgets and appliances are introduced into the market that drives everyone crazy. Financial schemes are introduced by institutions which would seem like a very simple deal. These schemes are advertised in such a way as to lure customers. Such facilities tempt us to spend more. When you buy into such schemes, what you are actually doing is getting into the finance trap. I am sure 99% of people reading this would have done this in some form or other.

That’s principle 6 for you. It’s always wise to stay within your limits.
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Principle 5: Cash reserves and idle cash.




Financial Discipline for all:Principle 5: Cash reserves and idle cash.

Cash reserves are money kept aside as an emergency fund. We are discussing the need to keep cash reserves as our fifth principle because, this is one important idea which most of us neglect. When you set aside some money from your earnings to meet unexpected expenses, there are four advantages that automatically comes with it:
1. Financial safety.
2. It allows you to take advantage of a surprise financial opportunity
3. It creates a compulsory saving habit.
4. Since funds are kept in liquid cash or gold, it earns interest or appreciates in value.
We recommend to create an emergency fund that equals to 4 or 5 months of living expenses; however, you do not need to set aside this total amount in cash alone. It can be in short term fixed deposit or Gold etc..
HOW MUCH RESERVE?
That depends from person to person.
There are a number of factors that influences your decision on the quantum of emergency fund that needs to be created. Factors such as age, occupation, health condition, monthly EMIs, number of members in the family, other sources of income needs to be considered on a one to one basis.
1. AGE:
Depending upon how old you are, the emergency fund required keeps changing. As you grow older, the possibility of medical emergencies is also high. Hence, if your age is on the higher side (let’s say you’re 45 years old) you also need an emergency fund that’s higher than some one who is just turning 30.
2. OCCUPATION:
The style of occupation/business you do is another factor that influences emergency fund decisions. If you are doing a seasonal business or if your job has an uncertain future, you need a higher emergency fund. People living on commission based income would also require a high emergency fund.
3. HEALTH CONDITION:
More reserve funds may be required for a person whose health condition is questionable. The amount of insurance cover he has should also be considered while assessing his future requirement. Higher the insurance, lesser the need for reserve funds on these grounds. Again, if you have your parents or grand parents living with you, you might need to plan accordingly.
4. MONTHLY EMIs.
The volume of debt you have needs to be analysed to get an idea about how much EMIs you’ll have to pay a month. Typically, while creating reserve funds, an amount equal to 6 months EMIs should be kept aside so that in case of emergency, you don’t default in your loan payments. A clear track record of loan re-payments is absolutely necessary for your future financial needs.
5. NUMBER OF MEMBERS IN FAMILY.
If the numbers of members you need to support are more (say 7 members) naturally you need a higher reserve than what would be required if you have only say, 3 members in your family.
6. OTHER SOURCES OF INCOME
You can count on your other sources of income, if any, while creating a reserve fund. One time or casual income or credit card limits should not be considered in this group. However, you can count on the income of your spouse or other family members staying with you in case of emergency.
7. OTHER POSSIBLE EXPENSES.
You may also want to consider other expenses like possible higher education fees for your child who is about to enter college or a possible repair for your house. It all depends from person to person.
HOW TO KEEP RESERVE FUNDS?
Hundred percent of your reserve funds need not be kept in liquid cash. A portion of it can be kept in short term fixed deposits or debt funds and a certain portion in gold or easily marketable securities.
Any cash lying idle over and above your emergency fund results in a lost investment opportunity. You are not making your money work efficiently for you.
THUMB RULE
The thumb rule is – You should have enough reserves to meet all the expenses for 4 or 5 months plus some extra to meet unforeseen expenditure like medical expenses.

HOW TO SPOT IDLE FUNDS?
  • First estimate how much emergency fund you’ll require. (typically 3-6 months expenses)
  • Now see how much you have in your bank account plus cash in hand.
  • Deduct 3 or 6 months emergency fund. The balance is your idle fund.
  • This fund should be invested immediately. You can take up a systematic investment plan so that an amount gets invested automatically every month; or you can open an online trading account and invest in stocks or mutual funds at your convenience ; you can opt to open FD linked savings account so that any balance above a certain limit automatically earns interest at a higher rate and so on..
You may like these posts:
Financial Discipline for all:: Principle 1.Finding money

Financial Discipline for all :: Principle 2.Time value of money

Financial Discipline for all : Principle 3. Compounding
Financial Discipline for all:Principle 4. Interest rates

Financial Discipline for all:Principle 4. Interest rates

INTEREST
Interest, usually expressed in terms of a percentage, is the additional amount you pay for using borrowed money or the return you get when you invest it with an institution like a bank.Its also the compensation you can demand if someone delays a payment that’s due to you. If you think clearly, the two concepts we discussed earlier viz, time value of money and compounding were based on the concept of interest rates.In this post we are discussing certain practical scenarios where interest rates can baffle you. It’s discussed under two heads
1. Interest payments
2. Interest incomes.
INTEREST ON LOANS
Interest rates are always tricky.  In most of the cases, interest rates advertised by the banks are not the actual rate of interest you pay. It’s something more than that.
Trap 1.
When you apply for a loan, there are a lot of financial charges you need to consider before deciding whether to avail it or not. For example – you are offered a loan for Rs.2 lakhs and your EMI works out to say, Rs. 18000 with 2 EMI’s payable in advance. Effectively, you are getting only Rs 164,000 in hand. But since the interest rate is calculated as if the entire 2 lakhs is given to you, the rate of interest you pay is actually very high.
Is that all? No. The bank will also deduct a processing fee of 1 % of the ‘total amount’ ie. Rs 2000 for a 2 lakhs loan. So on net, you get Rs 162,000.
Trap 2.
You are offered the same loan for reducing balance interest. You feel light thinking of the fact that interest is charged only on the balance outstanding. But look closer – reducing balance can be on monthly basis, half yearly basis or on Annual basis. If it’s on annual basis – your interest is calculated on the amount outstanding at the ‘beginning’ of the year. So, you keep paying interest on a higher amount even though your loan is decreasing every month. This pushes up the effective rate of interest you pay.So always confirm whether the reducing balance is on annual basis or half yearly basis.
Trap3.
Higher loan pre-closure charges. The bank would like you to pay your EMI’s regularly. If you do that, the bank likes you so much that on the basis of that regular loan track, they will sanction a second loan if you want. But – if you try to close off your loan liability before the stipulated loan period – the bank will charge an additional amount of 3% to 4% on the outstanding principal. They don’t want their customers to be ‘Too regular’. strange isn’t it?. That’s the way bank deals with it’s customers. If you try to be too good , you’ll be fined This preclosure charge you pay effectively raises the cost of your loan.
The solution-
The best way to deal with these traps is to stop comparing the interest rates and instead, compare the EMI’s and compute the total amount going out of your pocket including processing fee and pre-closure charges. This will give you the right picture of which loan is actually right for you.
INTEREST INCOME
The principle to be applied is quite simple – The earlier you get it, the better it is.
This principle will help you to compare different offers. For example – A bank offers 8% P.a  interest on FD , payable annually. NSC also offers 8% P.a but, payable half yearly. You get another offer on FD which pays interest at 8% p.a – payable monthly. Which is better? The one you get on monthly basis, of course!. Why? Because, the bank’s effective rate is 8% , the NSC’s effective rate is 8.16% and the third option of FD gives you an effective annual interest rate of 8.30% !
How? Let’s calculate with an example –

Financial Discipline for all : Principle 3. Compounding..

When asked to name the greatest mathematical discovery, Albert Einstein, one of the most influential and best known scientist and intellectual of all time replied – “compound interest”.

Let’s try to understand why he said so with a very simple example:
  • Jerry starts saving when he turned 25 and invests Rs 50,000 every year. He earns a return of 10% every year.At the end of ten years; he has been able to accumulate Rs 8.77 lakh. After that, he dosen’t invest Rs 50,000 anymore. He leaves that investment there until he’s retires at 60. At that time,  he would have accumulated around Rs 95 lakhs .
  • Tom, had fun and lived his first few years spending on all kinds of things and did not think of investing regularly. At 35, he starts to invest Rs 50,000 regularly every year until he retires at 60. I.e. for 25 years. But, he would have managed to accumulate only Rs 54.1 lakhs which is around Rs 41 lakhs less in comparison to Jerry.
5 simple points spell out from this story:
  • Even by investing two-and-a-half times more than Jerry,Tom has managed to build a corpus which is 43% less!
  • Why? Because,Jerry’s Rs 5 lakhs was allowed to compound for a longer period of time than Tom’s.
  • As the fund grows, the impact of compounding is greater.Jerry starts at 25, accumulates 50,000 for ten years, stops at 35 and then, his 8.77 lakhs (5 lakhs + Interest) is allowed to compound for 25 years till he’s 60. Whereas Tom starts at 35 and invests Rs 50,000 for the next 25 years, accumulates 12.5 lakhs (50,000 x 25) only to get 54.1 lakhs at 60.
  • Now let’s assume that Jerry had allowed the fund to compound for only 20 years i.e.  Till he turned 55. At 10% return every year, he would have accumulated an amount of around Rs 59 lakhs. By choosing to let his investment run for 5 more years, he accumulates Rs 45 lakh more.
  • Essentially, compounding is the idea that you can make money on the money you’ve already earned.
Compounding is very powerful.As Napoleon hill has said- “make your money work hard for you, and you will not have to work so hard for it” To take advantage of it, you have to start investing as early as possible.The earlier you start, the better it gets.
Easily said ! isn’t it?
I know it generally doesn’t work as i said. Because at 25, most of you haven’t drawn a plan to invest 50,000 a year. Even if you’ve done it , somewhere down the way , you’ve missed to add to your corpus regularly year after year. And , due to some emergency that crept in, you took back some amount from the corpus and din’t let your money grow !
So , how can a regular person use it to his/her advantage? Always remember to reinvest interest or dividends received on your investments. Over a period of time, such small amounts will add up to a tidy sum.
FREQUENCY FACTOR IN COMPOUNDING
The frequency of compounding is a major factor that that influences the compounding effect. The shorter the compounding frequency, the earlier your interest is re-invested and thus you earn more interest and your money grows faster.
Here’s more examples:
  • Savings of Rs 2500/- per month (Rs.30000 Per year) with 15% return will be worth Rs. 15028707/- (1.5 Crores) after 30 years. Yes, this is not typing error. It will be worth Really 1.5 Crores.
  • Savings of Rs 2500/- per month (Rs.30000 per Year) with 15% return will be worth Rs. 30400370/- (3.04 Crore) after 35 years.
COMPARATIVE CHART.
Here is a comparative chart for you to understand.
Let’s assume that you invest Rs 10,000 annually. Your retirement age is 60. Let’s also assume that the interest rate you get is 10%.
At the age of 60 you will have -
  • 49 lakhs -if you had started investing from age 20.
  • 30 lakhs -if you had started investing from age 25.
  • 18 lakhs – if you had started investing from age 30.
  • 11 lakhs – if you had started investing from age 35.
  • Just 6 lakhs – If you start at 40!! Take note of the impact.
Oh! That’s a huge difference! Now that you realized it late, what can you do? You can start now, invest more and reach the target of 49 lakh at age 60. This would mean more hard work and budgeting for you.   Let us see how much more you would need.
To get 49 lakhs at age 60 –
  • Invest 10,000 annually – at age 20
  • Invest 16,500 annually – at age 25
  • Invest 27000 annually – at age 30
  • Invest 45,000 annually- at age 35
  • Invest 78,000 annually – at age 40!!
Generally what I find is that most of the Indians start thinking of saving and investing at the age of 30-35. The above calculation is made assuming that the interest rate you get is 10 percent. But the average interest rate of banks is less than that. I hope the picture is now clear for you. The more you delay, the more you need to invest.

Hope you have understood the concept of compounding and how it impacts your savings. That’s principle 3 for you.
You may like these posts:
Financial Discipline for all:: Principle 1.Finding money
Financial Discipline for all :: Principle 2.Time value of money
 

Financial Discipline for all :: Principle 2.Time value of money


The best money advice anyone can ever give you is the “time value of money” concept . It is a vital concept in finance. Every financial decision involves the application of this concept directly or indirectly.The calculation of time value involves simple mathematics and it’s easy to calculate. Since this topic is a very important to everyone, we put it down as principle number two.

ENTER-TIME VALUE OF MONEY

The principle is – Rs 100 today is more valuable than Rs 100 a year from now. The reasons for this is quite simple to understand -
  • First, since the cost of living goes up , your money will  buy less goods and services in the future .So, today, money has more value or the purchasing power of your money is more
  • Second, if you have that money today, you can invest and earn returns.When you receive the money at a future date instead of receiving it today, you lose the interest or profit you would have made, had this money been with you now
  • Third, you prefer to have money today since the future is uncertain.
EXAMPLE :

Lets’s assume that you are  25 years old. You have Rs.2500 with you now. You  can either put it in bank FD or buy yourself a new dress. Now, let me further assume that you opt for buying new dress.The reality is that you are spending far more than that Rs 2500. How? Let’s try to calculate the real cost of not investing that money.
FV = pmt (1+i)n
FV = Future Value
Pmt = Payment
I = Rate of return you expect to earn
N = Number of years

HOW TO SOLVE THE EQUATION?

N = Number of years invested - The money you’ve spend on a dress is lost forever. That means,  that  Rs 2500 could have compounded in the bank for atleast 35 years.  How did i get that ’35′ figure? I assumed that you’ll retire at 60 and since you are 25 now, there’s 35  years left. let’s substitute 35 for “n” in the equation.
I= Rate of return expected – The ‘I’ in the formula stands for the expected rate of return. Since  bank fixed deposits would pay around 8% and   stock markets have returned an average of 15 %- 17% ,  Let’s assume you would earn some where in between – an average of 10% rate of return. So, we’ll assume  ’I’ as 10% .

PMT –  is the value of the single amount you want to invest (in this case Rs 2500).
Now substituting the figures, our   formula would be –  FV = 2500 (1+.10)35.
Enter 1.10 into your calculator (this is the sum of 1+.10). Raise this to the 35th power. The result is 28.1024. Multiply the 28.1024 by the pmt of Rs 2500. The result (Rs 70,256 ) is the true cost of spending the Rs 2500 today (if you adjusted the Rs 70256  for inflation of 6 % , it would probably work out to about Rs 9150  That means your real purchasing power would increase approximately 4 fold).
Now,  after realizing the actual cost of spending Rs 2500,   would you prefer to buy a dress for Rs 2500 today or Rs 9150 in the future. The answer is entirely personal.
Once you understand this vital concept,  you would realize that all those bits and pieces of money you spend unnecessarily are costing you thousands in future wealth. This is why time value of money is considered as the central concept in finance.

MORE EXAMPLES..

Future value of money –compounded annually.
You deposit Rs 50,000 for 5 years at 5% interest rate compounded annually. What is the future vale?
  • FV= PV ( 1 + i ) N
  • FV= Rs. 50,000  ( 1+ .05 ) 5
  • FV= Rs. 50,000  (1.2762815)
  • FV= Rs. 63,815.

Future Value of money – Compounded Monthly
You deposit Rs 50,000 for 5 years at 5% interest rate compounded monthly. What is the future value?
(i equals .05 divided by 12, because there are 12 months per year. So 0.05/12=.004166, so i=.004166)
  • FV= PV ( 1 + i ) N
  • FV= Rs. 50,000 ( 1+ .004166 ) 60
  • FV= Rs. 50,000 (1.283307)
  • FV= Rs. 64,165.
GOING BACKWARDS.

Present Value of money – Compounded Annually
You will receive Rs 50,000 5 years from now.  How much money should you get now instead of Rs 50,000 5 years later if the interest rate is 6%?
  • (i=.06)
  • Rs.50,000 = PV ( 1 + .06) 5
  • Rs.50,000 = PV (1.338)
  • Rs.50,000 / 1.338 = PV
  • Rs. 37,370.
Present Value of money – Compounded Monthly

You will receive Rs 50,000 5 years from now.  How much money should you get now instead of Rs 50,000 5 years later if the interest rate is 6% calculated on monthly compounding basis?
  • Here , (i equals .06 divided by 12, because there are 12 months per year so 0.06/12=.005 so i=.005)
  • FV= PV ( 1 + i ) N
  • Rs.50,000 = PV ( 1 + .005) 60
  • Rs.50,000 = PV (1.348)
  • Rs.50,000 / 1.348= PV
  • Rs. 37,091.

KNOW IT
  • A rupee received today is greater than a rupee received tomorrow because money has ‘time value’
  • The time value of money is the compensation for postponement of consumption of money. It is the aggregate of inflation rate, the real rate of return on risk free investment and the risk premium.
  • ‘Time value of money’ can be different for different people because each has a different desired compensation for postponing the consumption of money.

Financial Discipline for all:: Principle 1.Finding money

That’s interesting! This is one topic everyone will read very carefully because it all about finding money! Imagine that you found Rs 1000 between the pages of an old book on the shelf. You kept it some months back and forgot about it. How does it feel? Even if that money was never found, you would have still lived with what’s left in your wallet without even bothering where it disappeared. isn’t it?
This is the principle behind accumulating savings from your income. Set aside your target savings and forget about it as if it were not there and live with the rest. It’s not easy as you think,but definitely not impossible. And , it’s never too late to apply this principle !

To most of us Savings = Income (or salary)- Expenses . However, this formula doesn’t work ( as you would have already experienced :) ) since when money is in your pocket, you get trapped by advertising tricks like discount offers on Clothes or new gadgets which tempts you to spend more. It’s difficult to control expenses. As a result, your savings never hits the target. If what we said holds true for you and you seriously want to save a fixed 10% or 20% of your take home salary each month, you need a different approach to savings. We suggest Robert Kiyosaki’s method from his famous book ‘Rich Dad Poor Dad’.
What kiyosaki said is very simple. Instead of trying to limit your expenses every month, first deduct an amount which you intend to save and keep it in a separate account so that you live with only what’s left. So our formula has to be modified like this :

INCOME – SAVINGS(INVESTING FUND) = EXPENSES


Smart ! isnt’ it ? This formula forces you to “pay yourself first,” before the other expenses. That way you know your savings will not get lost in the daily grind of living expenses.
The other side of this formula is a forced discipline. You hold your expenses to no more than 90% of your take home pay.
You can even automate the process by having 10% (or any amount you want) deducted from your Salary account and transfer it into a separate account or fixed deposit, recurring deposit or other savings instrument .
So that’s the basic trick to find money!
But, that’s not all. You can also find money from many other sources. For example, Instead of going for parties and shopping, you can set aside extra payments like bonuses, commissions and so forth into your savings Fund.
So try to make it a habit to set aside 10% ( or what ever percentage you would like to set aside) and live with rest. If you do that, you have a great chance to succeed.

MORE TIPS TO CONTROL YOUR EXPENSES:

SPEND LESS


This is one simple method to save more. Sit back and analyse your spending habits and look where you spend more unnecessarily. Once you have identified certain areas of high spending, try to find ways to cut back. Take a decision that you’ll not spend more than a fixed budget.

MAKE A BUDGET


A budget is a very important tool to control expenses. Be it individuals or corporates. A budget is nothing but a chart or a statement that shows how much you earn and hence, how much you can spend.

PAY OFF YOUR LOANS

Loans carry high rates of interest. If you have a lot of EMI’s to pay, it naturally reduces your capacity to save more. It also shows that you’re living on high levels of debt which is not a right thing to do. If you have loans, first look for ways to pre-pay it as soon as possible. Another common area where you could lose a lot of money is credit cards. Credit cards companies slap huge interest for delayed payments.

TRY TO AVOID LATE PAYMENTS


Any bills – like electricity or telephone or internet or credit card has a deadline within which you are supposed to pay the dues. Unnecessarily delaying such payments results in payment of fines. Such expenditures can be avoided if you can get organized on your bill payments. Make a list of monthly payments and the deadline within which you are supposed to pay. These days banks also allow their customers to automate or link their periodic bills to their savings account or credit card.
Credit cards over dues need particular mention here. Credit card companies slap huge interest and fines for delayed payments.

THINK BEFORE YOU BUY


Do not buy anything on impulse. Before laying your hands on any fancy thing which is up for sale, think if it’s really needed.

SHOP SMART


Most of the big brands will be available at throw away prices once there’s an off season sale or sales promotion drive. For example if you want to buy an expensive watch, wait for the company to announce some discount offers. All the big brands announce discount offers at least twice a year.

KEEP DISTANCE FROM LAVISH FRIENDS


High spending lavish friends are may hinder your route to save money. It’s natural for you to get tempted by such friends to buy new gadgets every year. They may be nice guys and may not harm you in anyway, but to keep up with them , it may become necessary for you to spend high ( for example latest electronic items or cars , parties, expensive dresss etc ) which other wise ay not be required !


SAVING ENOUGH IS HALF THE JOB DONE


If you have saved enough,good. but saving is only half the job done.You have to give your savings the right opportunity to grow. Putting all your funds in fixed deposits or fixed income bonds is not a good idea. Your investments should have the right mix of equities, bonds, gold and fixed deposits.Deciding the ‘right mix’ of investments is something an investment expert can do. It depends on an individual’s age and risk profile.


KNOW IT


  • Finding money is a matter of making it a priority.
  • Pay yourself first and learn to live off with what is left. You will always have money with you. It may be difficult at first. But gradually, you will see your fund growing and that would encourage you to stick to it until you reach your goal of finding enough money.
  • Bonuses and extra pays you get are opportunities to buy the latest iphone or Blackberry but a prudent option would be to create a savings out of it
  • You can save a lot of money if you control your expenses.
  • As time goes by, your small saving will also give you additional money in the form of interest. Finally, you’ll find that you’ve done a great job,creating more money than expected.
Take our word. It’s fool proof !!

Financial Discipline for all 1-The story of Adolf Merckle....

Adolf Merckle was one of Germany’s richest business man. He developed his grandfather’s chemical wholesale company into Germany’s largest pharmaceutical wholesaler, Phoenix Pharmahandel . He was educated as a lawyer,  but spent most of his time investing. He lived in Germany with his wife and four children.
In 2006, he was the world’s 44th richest man. Merckle’s group of companies employed 100,000 workers and had an annual turnover of 30 billion euros (around 39.9 billion U.S. dollars).

All this turned upside down after his business empire was plunged into difficulties due to the financial crisis. Merckle hit the headlines in 2008 when he suffered massive losses on investments he had made on movements of the share price in Volkswagen, Europe’s largest car company.
On Jan 06,2009 German news agency DPA reported that –  Merckle, 74, threw himself under a train at his hometown of Blaubeuren, a small town near southern Germany city of Ulm, and a railway worker found his body by the side of the track.
Before his death, he had been negotiating with banks for a bridging loan of 400 million euros (around 547 million U.S. dollars) to save his empire, which includes the pharmaceutical company ratiopharm and drugs maker Phoenix. That figure shows the depth of financial crisis he had.
The picture above shows the place where his body was found. What a tragic end to the life of one of the world’s richest man.


…MERCKLE ISN’T ALONE

Here’s more -
In Jan 2009 , The national suicide preventing hotline in US reports that, calls have soared by as much as 60 per cent over the past year – many of the  calls were from people who have lost their home, or their job, or who still have a job but can’t meet the cost of living.
A 45-year-old businessman in Los Angeles murdered five members of his family before turning the gun on himself, saying in a suicide note that he had done so because of his troubling financial situation.
Karthik Rajaram, 45, who had made almost £900,000 on the London stock market, shot his wife, three children and mother-in-law in the head before shooting himself at the family home near Los Angeles.He did this after seeing his family’s fortune wiped out by the stock market collapse.
A 90-year-old Ohio widow shoots herself in the chest as authorities arrive to evict her from the modest house she called home for 38 years.
In Massachusetts, a housewife who had hidden her family’s mounting financial crisis from her husband sends a note to the mortgage company warning: “By the time you foreclose on my house, I’ll be dead. Then, Carlene Balderrama,  shot herself to death, leaving an insurance policy and the suicide note on a table.


WE INDIANS AREN’T BEHIND..


Thousands commit suicide unable to bear the pressure and crisis, that mismanaged investments create.
Internet and newspapers report about people falling prey to financial frauds like ‘get-rich-quick’ schemes and money chains, eventually losing every penny they had earned.
Did you know that a small state like Kerala spends more than Rs 40 crores a day on lottery tickets alone?According to Tehelka.com’s reporter Shantanu Guha Ray , Illegal lottery tickets account for atleast 60 per cent —Roughly Rs 7,200 crore — of the Rs 13,000 crore gambled every year on lottery tickets in India. All sections of the society are involved in this. I know doctors, HR consultants, engineers, stock market investors, Government officials,housewives and students who regularly put money in lottery tickets. Anyway, lottery tickets ( if you’re lucky to get an original one :) ) at-least gives you a chance to win.
There is another section of people who gets involved in money chains – where wealth gained by participants entering the scheme earlier, is the wealth actually lost by those coming later. In-spite of hearing about many schemes in which people have lost their wealth, India continues to be a happy hunting ground for such fraudulent operators. The root cause of all this can be brought under one head-Greed for money and  financial illiteracy.
This is exactly the reason why we will first discuss about the basic principles of money management . People spend lakhs to get a  doctor’s degree or a MBA from the most prestigious of  institutes. They spend a lot to pursue their hobbies such as music and salsa.  But when it comes to managing their money , they hardly make any effort to learn  at-least the basics , forget about gaining specialized knowledge !
The next chapter will take you through the basic principles of money management. These principles are important to everyone out there– housewives, businessmen,musicians, students, professionals , priests , social workers.. anyone who deals with money directly or indirectly.

Financial Discipline for all.


Millions of people fall prey to financial frauds;millions suffer from financial imbalance despite earning good money;even billioners have committed suicide due to financial problems- The root cause of all this is failure in handling their money in an informed manner. People from all walks of life face this problem of financial indiscipline.In the following articles,we detail the basics one must follow while handling their money in order to stay safe and have peace of mind. Some are concepts, while others are practical tips.




  • The story of Adolf Merckle
  • Principle 1.Finding money !
  • Principle 2.Time value of money
  • Principle 3. Compounding
  • Principle 4. Interest rates.
  • Principle 5: Cash reserves and idle cash.
  • Principle 6: Never stretch beyond your limits.
  • Principle 7. Don’t try ‘Get rich quick’ schemes.
  • Principle 8. Inflation
  • Principle 9. You are not safe with fixed deposits alone.
  • Principle 10. Have a Monthly budget
  • Principle 11. Utilize credit cards wisely.
  • Principle 12. Lending money to friends and relatives.
  • Principle 13. Signing surety for friends.
  • Principle 14: Multiple streams of income.
  • Principle 15. Do not spend recklessly
  • Principle 16. Avoid financial litigations
  • Principle 17. Pay your taxes.
  • Principle 18. Safeguard your documents.
  • Principle 19. Insurance is a must.
  • Principle 20. Know your net worth
  • Principle 21. Think of retirement when you’re young!
  • Principle 22. Diversify your investments.
  • Principle 23. Valuation is the key to right investments.
  • Principle 24. Gold – A must in your portfolio

The Importance of a Trading Plan..

Trying to win in the stock market without a trading plan is like trying to build a house without blueprints – costly mistakes are inevitable.


Why do you need a Trading Plan?
 1 – During trading hours, emotions will turn smart people into idiots. Therefore, you have to avoid having to make decisions during those hours. For every action you take during trading hours, the reason should not be greed or fear. The reason should be because it is in the plan. With a good plan, your task becomes one of patience and discipline.
2 – Consistent results require consistent actions – consistent actions can only be achieved through a detailed plan.

What should be in your trading plan?

1 – Your strategy to enter and exit trades

You have to describe the conditions that have to be met before you enter a trade. You also have to describe the conditions under which you will close a position. These conditions may include technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or a combination of both. They may also include market conditions, public sentiment, etc…

2 – Your Money management rules to keep losses small – the goal of money management is to ensure your survival by avoiding risks that could take you out of business. Your money management rules should include the following:

- Maximum amount at risk for each trade.
- Maximum amount at risk for all your opened positions.
- Maximum daily and weekly amount lost before you stop trading

3 – Your daily routine – after the market closes, before it opens, etc…

4 – Activities you carry out during the weekend.

5 – I also like to include reminders that I read every day

I will follow a trading plan to guide my trading – therefore my job will be one of patience and discipline.
- I will always keep my trading plan simple.
- I will take actions according to my trading plan, not because of greed, fear, or hope.
- I will not deceive myself when I deviate from my trading plan. Instead I will admit the error and correct it.

I will have a winning attitude.

- Take responsibility for all your actions – don’t blame the market or world events.
- Trade to trade well and for the love of trading, not to trade often and not for the money.
- Don’t be influenced by the opinions of others.
- Never think that taking money from the market is easy.
- Don’t try to guess the future – trading is a game of probabilities.
- Use your head and stay calm – don’t get excited or depressed.
- Handle trading as a serious intellectual pursuit.
- Don’t count how much money you have made or lost while you are in a trade – focus on trading well.
A trading plan will not guarantee you success in the stock market but not having one will pretty much guarantee failure.

Your Trading Cost – Break up of brokerage you pay to your broker

There is no denying the fact that earning from stock market is an art, not just speculation, forecasting and analysis. Whether you are a retail investor or a big fund, one question you should ask yourself is “what is your trading cost”?. How much part of your earning are you passing on to your broker in the form of commissions because it really affects your “profit margin”.

If you are already familiar with stock market, there is a small homework for you. Check out the contract note you have received from your stock broker. Or else, if you plan to enter into stock markets and seeking for a broker, exercise your mind a little to know the net brokerage being charged by your broker and study the various commission components. The reason is simple; the amount you pay to your broker may make difference your winning or loosing in the trade. Confused??…It is a common mistake that novice traders execute trade assuming they are earning atleast meagre profit margin, but if all the components including brokerage, taxes, and stamp duty are accounted for, the profit margin comes out to be negative. Isn’t it strange? Yes, so we are here to understand the computation of the net trading amount you pay to your broker.

RATES OF BROKERAGE

There are many brokers charging different rates of brokerage. For example, ICICI Direct charging @.75% and HDFC charging @ .5% of trading amount. However the net trading cost is computed as below:
Trading cost = Brokerage + STT + Stamp duty + other charges
So in addition to brokerage, there are below costs accounted in net amount:

1. STT – Sale transaction tax is imposed on the sale/purchase of securities by retail/institutional investors and is charged on total turnover (cost of each share * no. of shares). For delivery of shares it is charged at .125%. For intraday selling of shares, it is charged @.025%. For buying, there is no tax for intra day trades. Currently government is under consideration to remove/reduce STT because since it was introduced in 2004, the cost of transaction of trades has drastically increased. This leads to loss in business as Indian markets are becoming less competitive compared to other emerging markets.

2. Stamp duty: Stamp duty is also charged on total turnover. For delivery of shares it is charged at .01% and for intra day it is charged at .002%.

3. Other charges: it includes below component:

a. Transaction charges: For trading of shares at NSE, it is charged @ 0.0035% while for BSE, it is charged @ 0.0034%.
b. SEBI turnover charges: For equity transaction, this remains NIL but for derivative transactions, it is charged @ 0.0002% of total turnover.
c. Service Tax: Service tax is charged on all the components

So net brokerage will be calculated as below:
Net brokerage = Brokerage + STT + Stamp duty + Other charges
So next time you trade, try to find out how much earning have you shared with your broker. Happy trading!!

Inflation ke piche kya hai?

I love my grandfather’s stories. We won't get into the ones that my grandma loves to scoff at. Like his brave encounters with tigers. Or the one about the milk that needed boiling. 
But you must listen to this one. My dear grandpa used to buy 10 litre of milk for 50 paise and 40kg of rice for one rupee a good sixty years ago!  

Don't believe me? Then sample this. In those days, there were coins of one paise and even less! Incredible, eh? But I have seen those with my own eyes in my father's collection of old coins.
What’s more, I also remember seeing and transacting in five paise and ten paise coins in my childhood. Alas! My son won't get to see those currencies. Except in a collection of old coins perhaps. 
Wondering why I am rambling about one paise coins and getting into the generation business? 
This is not a “Kal Aaj aur Kal” story. Or maybe it is. 
If you have an eye for detail you will have noticed the common thread that runs through these anecdotes. The point that I have been trying to make is how expensive things have become over the years. 
My grandfather used to buy 40kg of rice for one rupee and today a kilo of rice costs Rs30! Ten litre of milk cost 50 paise in his days but today you need at least Rs180 to purchase the same amount. 
See what the passage of time has done. It has eroded the value of money. Having Rs800 today is equivalent to having one rupee fifty years ago. 
Economists call it a decline in the purchasing power of money. The purchasing power of money is the amount of merchandise that a unit of money (say a rupee) can buy. 
And the term “inflation” has its roots right there. When the purchasing power of money dwindles with time, the phenomenon is called “inflation”. This is manifested in a general rise in prices of goods and services.
But why do prices rise? Let us understand why this happens with the help of a simple example. Onions are an integral part of any food preparation in our country. Can you think of having a meal without having a dish that contains onion? Why, onion and chapattis constitute the staple diet for many people!
Let us assume the onion crop fails in a particular year, for whatever reason.
What happens then? The supply of onions in the market drops. However, people still need onions. Inevitably, the price of onion shoots up as people scramble to buy the limited supply of onions. 
Remember November of 1998? Such a situation had actually happened in several parts of the country.  It had nearly brought down the government. The price of onions had risen to as high as Rs40 per kg or more. 
But how does a simple thing like a one-off drop in onion supply causes prices to rise across the board in a sustained fashion? 
In the winter of 1998, the dabbawallas and restaurants were forced to hike their prices in response to the rising prices of onions. Even your local barber and maidservant demanded a higher pay to meet their higher daily expenses. All thanks to the (mighty?) onion. This set off a chain reaction. 
How?
Think again. It is not only onions that we consume in the course of a day. There is a whole basket of products and services that we draw on, on a day-to-day basis.
Hence, some of you decide to use more of garlic to make up for the lack of onion. The demand for garlic goes up. A few who eat raw onions decide to substitute it with more of tomato and cucumber. The local sabjiwala senses this shift in consumption happening. The smart businessman that he is, he hikes prices of all vegetables. He starts earning more money. Now his children demand that he should get them a new 21" TV with 100 channels.
And with all sabjiwalas rushing to the nearest TV shop, the sales for TV picks up. The TV company makes more money. Noticing the ballooning profits, the employees of the company demand a hike in their salaries. You are lucky to be working for one such profit-making company. You have more money in your pocket. And you have always wanted to buy a car...
We could go on and on, but you get the idea, don't you? The price rise is here to stay. We just need to understand the concept of inflation. After all, the main objective is to figure out how inflation affects the three friends, saver, borrower and investor.
We know how important it is for all of us to save. We all need to save for the day when we will not be earning but will still need to spend money on food, clothing and the occasional movie. 
What would have happened if my grandfather had saved a rupee fifty years back to buy rice now? Oh boy! It would have been a total rip-off. He would receive a few grains of rice in exchange for that amount.
In short, inflation is one BIG enemy of savers.
So, why should we save?
A good and important question. But we will come back to it later. We need to find out how this monster they call inflation affects our two other friends.
We know that borrowing is the opposite of saving. So if the saver is losing, the borrower must be winning.
Yes, of course. After all, the borrower borrows to spend today and repay later. Imagine if my grandfather had saved a rupee fifty years ago and my grandfather's neighbour had borrowed it from him. The neighbour could have bought 40kg of rice then and have had a feast. In case he repaid the money to my grandfather now, all that my grandfather would have been able to buy with the rupee would be a few grains of rice!
To top it all, the borrower spends NOW and adds to the inflation effect, compounding the misery of our saver.


What about our last friend, investor, the slightly difficult one to understand? 

Imagine once again (just one last time, we promise) that my grandfather's friend had invested a rupee in a paddy field. That is imagine if he had bought a paddy field with a rupee. The smart guy would have been raking in money today, selling a kg of rice at Rs30! 
Our investor friend seems a lot better off than even the borrower who benefits from inflation.
No wonder investing is always considered as a good thing to do to beat inflation. It is what textbooks call “hedging inflation”.
Inflation is constantly increasing the cost of goods and services and eating into the value of your income and wealth. You need to save money and invest it well so that the value of every rupee is augmented. There are several investment options available including equities, mutual funds, bonds, deposits, real estate and gold to name a few.

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